U.S. 2024 Export Growth: How It Affects Asian Propane Markets

Canada’s export position is changing, and its 9.2% export growth in 2024 has brought the spotlight on propane. As the demand rises globally, particularly from Asia, Canada is becoming stronger to meet the deficit in propane supplies. With new terminals, upgraded shipping routes, and a diversified customer base, this growth can be felt even by countries like Pakistan which are highly on the lookout for cheap and sure LPG supplies. Let’s examine how this boom is restructuring propane markets and what that means to Asian buyers.

Canadian Trends in Exporting Propane and Upcoming Patterns

Canada’s propane export boom isn’t a number, it’s a consequence of a strategic build-out catalyzed by infrastructure investment, diversified trade agreements, and converting to Asian buyers.

Historic LPG Shipments

Canada shipped more than 14 million barrels of propane during the first half of 2024 alone, with a huge surge in volumes to Japan, South Korea, and China. More than 60% of Canadian propane exports are currently Asian-driven demand.

New West Coast Export Terminals

Terminals like AltaGas and Vopak’s Ridley Island Propane Export Terminal (RIPET) have enabled direct and economical exports to Asia via the Pacific. On the west coast of British Columbia, it reduces shipping time to Asian ports by up to 10 days compared to U.S. Gulf routes.

Clean Energy Focus

Marketing it as bridge fuel for clean energy for the emerging world, Canada’s low-emission propane, derived from natural gas processing.

Facilitative Trade Agreements

CPTPP deals increase competitiveness of Canadian propane for Asian markets by minimizing tariffs and trade barriers.

Increased Alberta and BC Output

Western Canadian provinces have seen higher propane production from the Montney and Duvernay formations, spilling over into the export boom.

Stepping Up Midstream Interest

Canadian midstream operators are making investments in pipeline and rail additions to drive future LPG expansion, offering long-term export reliability.

The next big energy ally for Asia? It might just be Canada.

Changing LPG Orientations in Asia

Asia’s growing middle class, urbanization, and industrialization propel LPG demand. Canada’s expanded capacity and geographical proximity are a more attractive alternative to traditional Middle East providers.

Japan & Korea Are First in Line

Japan and South Korea, historically reliant on Middle Eastern LPG, have diversified their supply slate with Canada now supplying over 20% of their propane imports.

Reduced Shipping Costs from West Canada

A proximity to the Pacific Ocean decreases British Columbia shipping as more affordable and quicker than the U.S. Gulf or Middle East, an advantage in logistics for Asian consumers.

Greater Strategic Storage in Asia

Asian companies are expanding coastal storage terminals to take in additional Canadian LPG, an inventory cushion in peak-demand months.

Growing Demand in Southeast Asia

Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia are increasing imports of propane to fuel industry and residential use, making Canada the regional market leader.

Urban Use on a Smoother Burn

Low sulfur and heavy hydrocarbons in Canadian propane are more attractive for urban use, emphasizing emissions and air quality concerns.

Long-Term Contracts in the Equation

Multilateral long-term contracts with Canadian suppliers accepted by Asian buyers are an indicator of a new philosophy of buying strategy.

Effects on Propane Supply

Domestic Demand for Propane Growing

Propane demand is growing rapidly within Pakistan’s hospitality, domestic, and agriculture sectors, demanding recurrent imports to keep pace with demand and prevent shortages.

Middle East Depending Had Brought Risk

Most Middle Eastern LPG comes from Pakistan. Supply shortages or geopolitical upset have the net effect of impacting price and availability.

Stable, Transparent Pricing Dominates in Canada

Propane in Canada is marketed through open index-linked mechanisms that bring stability, something that is not available in Middle Eastern spot markets on a consistent basis.

Southeast Asian Trade Channel Opportunities

LPG importers have access to mature Canadian networks through Singapore, Malaysia, or even Indian storage and supply hubs.

Bilateral Trade Engagement Opportunity

This added export offers promise for bilateral trade opportunities between Pakistan and Canada in the energy sector, especially in cooperation with the private sector.

Infrastructure Needs

To benefit from imports to Canada, Pakistan must improve port, storage, and cylinder distribution infrastructure, along with cold chain coverage in remote regions.

Economic & Political Implications

Canada’s 9.2% increase in 2024 propane exports is reshaping energy diplomacy and trade flows. With Middle Eastern reliance being reduced by Asian nations, Canada is becoming significant in bodies like the IEA and APEC. Alberta and British Columbia farmland economically gains from jobs created in extraction, transport, and port trade. Export growth, however, is straining world tanker capacity, which is driving transport costs higher. The shift also is leading nations to use cleaner, cleaner-burning LPG. Worldwide, Canada’s emergence provides diversification and stability to global propane supply chains.

Future Outlook of Canada Propane Market

The speed seen in 2024 is the beginning of things to come. Canada’s growing LPG export capacity will produce over 18 million barrels annually by 2026, according to midstream estimates. This provides the foundation for even greater mastery of Asian and Pakistani markets. Investment in infrastructure such as long rail-to-port corridors, storage capacity at Kitimat and Prince Rupert, and sophisticated propane fractioning facilities in Alberta will enable this expansion. Receiving and distribution networks must be upgraded by Pakistani and Asian importers to be able to utilize the full potential of this flow.

Also, Canadian firms are signing long-term buying contracts with Asian customers, offering price stability and consistent delivery. While other origin countries of LPG have more geopolitical tensions emerging, the politically stable, reliable supplier image of Canada may position it as a preferred partner in the future.

A New Era for Propane Trade

Canada’s 9.2% export growth in 2024 is not just a trade statistic, it foretells a transition to a more diversified, robust, and competitive Asian and global propane market. For Pakistan, it offers the opportunity to break with unstable supply chains and transition towards cleaner, more stable imports of fuel. The two nations can share collectively in the benefits of a more secure and economically favorable energy relationship. As Canada solidifies its status as a global LPG leader, its influence on supply dynamics, infrastructure investment, and energy diplomacy will reshape the next decade of propane trading.

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